Abstract:Inflation has dominated the markets so far this year, with staggering Consumer Price Index figures being released all over the world. This week’s attention turns to the most volatile CPI release in the economic calendar this month, U.S CPI.
Author – Connor Woods, Senior Market Analyst
Date: September 12th– September 16th
Inflation has dominated the markets so far this year, with staggering Consumer Price Index figures being released all over the world. This weeks attention turns to the most volatile CPI release in the economic calendar this month, U.S CPI.
U.S Inflation
Stealing the show this week is undoubtedly the U.S Consumer Price Index report due on Tuesday. The markets have been shaken this year by the worryingly high inflation figures released in this monthly report. It remains more than three times the Feds 2% target.
The core CPI inflation increased by 0.3% last time round. Optimistic traders will be looking for this report to show inflation has finally ‘peaked’, which would be a reading of 0% or below, which could provide more relief to the markets. However, Jerome Powell has made it clear underlying inflation remains high.
U.K in the Spotlight
There are important data releases coming from the UK next week. It begins on Monday when the UK releases its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) change month on month. This is the primary measure of economic growth in an economy. Last time out, the UK economy shrunk 0.6% month on month, which sparked widespread fear over the UK economic prospects.
The UK will also release its CPI year-on-year figures. Last month the figure was a shocking 10.1%, and there is real concern the UK will post double digit inflation yet again. Many of the large banks have predicted inflation to reach 15%!
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This week has been a volatile one from forex to commodities. Tuesday’s CPI and Wednesday’s PPI reports told traders that US inflation is on the march (again), and interest rates are heading higher. Will the chaos continue?
With Europe set to tighten monetary policy dramatically today along with the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference, risk assets are showing some fight. The question is how long can this last?
With critical news coming from the U.S job market on Friday, volatility is ticking up as traders prepare for a hard landing. Natural Gas and U.S Dollar prices remain the bull story of the year, just how far can this go?
This week all eyes the attention has shifted to critical news events coming out of the UK and US. Read our week ahead article today and find out Connor Woods’ opinion on this week’s events.